
Chicago, IL
As June closed, the U.S. housing market looked steadier than it did earlier in the spring, but affordability continued to shape nearly every decision. Buyers had additional listings to consider in many markets, contract activity improved in May, and price growth slowed. Still, mortgage rates near the mid-6% range kept monthly costs, condition, and long-term value at the center of the conversation.
According to the National Association of REALTORS®, existing-home sales rose 3.2% month over month and year over year in May, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.17 million. The median existing-home sales price increased 1.3% from a year earlier to $429,300, while total housing inventory reached 1.55 million units, up 3.3% from April and equal to a 4.5-month supply.
Contract activity also improved. NAR’s Pending Home Sales report showed signed contracts up 3.8% from April, with gains across all four major U.S. regions. The increase suggests that buyers are still willing to move, but they are doing so with more discipline around price, financing, and condition.
Douglas Wagner of BOND New York is seeing that same focus in one of the country’s highest-cost markets. He says buyers are prioritizing predictable monthly payments, lower maintenance or common charges, lower real estate tax payments, and confidence in long-term value. “Buyers still don’t want to do work — they will pay a premium for move-in ready property,” Wagner says.
More Listings Are Giving Buyers Room to Compare
Inventory is one of the most prominent changes from the tighter conditions of recent years. Realtor.com’s May housing report showed active listings up 2.2% year over year to 1,058,693, while new listings rose 2.1% to 474,976. The national median listing price was $429,500, down 2.4% from May 2025.
That added supply is changing how buyers approach the market. Additional options can create room to negotiate, especially in areas where listings have built up or homes are competing with new construction. But additional inventory has not translated into broad buyer control. Homes that are priced clearly and easy to understand are still drawing attention, while properties with pricing or condition issues are easier to pass over.
Caroline Bass, Associate Broker at Corcoran, says activity has remained strong for well-priced properties, especially those that feel updated and easy to live in. “Buyers are still active, but they’re selective and highly value-conscious, so accurate pricing continues to be critical,” Bass says. She also points to a demand for convenience and livability, with renovated apartments, natural light, attractive views, larger layouts, and in-unit laundry generating strong interest in New York City.
Across many markets, buyers are looking closely at what a home will require after closing, from renovation work to carrying costs to the ease of everyday living.

New York, NY
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Price Growth Is Slowing
Price data continues to show a cooler, more uneven market than the one that defined the earlier part of the decade.
The FHFA House Price Index, released June 30, showed U.S. house prices down 0.1% month over month in April and up 2.0% from April 2025. The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index posted a 0.8% annual gain for April, with stronger annual growth in Chicago, New York, and Cleveland, and year-over-year declines in Seattle, Denver, Tampa, Dallas, and Phoenix.
For sellers, slower price growth changes the strategy. The market is still moving, but the margin for overpricing has narrowed. Erin Wheelock, Associate Broker at Keller Williams NYC, says the strongest response is going to homes that are properly priced and turnkey in her market. “It feels like the market is ‘hot’ for properly priced properties,” Wheelock says.
Wheelock is also seeing a split by price point. Luxury residences have been moving, while some properties below $1 million are taking longer as first-time buyers deal with higher borrowing costs, stricter debt-to-income requirements, and the comparison between owning and renting. That divide is one of the clearest signs of the 2026 market: buyers with cash or greater financial flexibility can still move decisively, while entry-level buyers are often more constrained.

Tampa, FL
New Construction Is Adding Another Test for Sellers
New construction continues to play an important role, especially in markets where resale supply has been limited. But the latest data does not show a surge in new-home sales. According to the U.S. Census Bureau and HUD, new single-family home sales were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 580,000 in May, down 7.3% from April.
Supply in the new-home market remains elevated. The Census Bureau report showed 496,000 new homes for sale at the end of May, representing a 10.3-month supply at the current sales pace. The median sales price for new homes sold in May was $424,900, virtually unchanged from a year earlier.
For buyers, builder inventory can create opportunities in some communities, especially where incentives or pricing adjustments are being used to keep sales moving. For sellers of existing homes, it adds another layer of competition. A resale home competing with new construction needs to feel current, well-maintained, and priced with today’s buyer in mind.
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Dallas, TX
Mortgage Rates Continue to Shape Demand
Mortgage rates remain one of the biggest limits on demand. Freddie Mac reported that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.49% as of June 25, up slightly from the prior week but below the average from the same time last year. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.84%.
Rates near 6.5% are no longer a new shock, but they still shape how buyers search. A home that might have drawn immediate interest in a lower-rate environment now has to make sense on financing, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and timing. Laura Cook of Keller Williams NYC says buyers in her market have stayed engaged when the right homes come up, even as elevated rates continue to influence decisions. “A big part of why we’ve held up while the rest of the country cools is structural: the top of our market runs heavily on cash, so high-net-worth buyers here aren’t nearly as sensitive to the elevated mortgage rates that have been pricing buyers out elsewhere,” she said.
What It Means for Buyers and Sellers
The current market offers more choice than the tightest years of the cycle for buyers. That can create negotiating room where inventory has built up, especially for homes that need updates or compete directly with new construction. At the same time, lower supply in desirable neighborhoods and price ranges can still create competition.
For sellers, the message is less about urgency and more about precision. Price, condition, and presentation need to work from the start. Homes that come to market with a realistic strategy can still attract attention, while listings that ignore today’s affordability pressure are easier for buyers to pass over.
The second half of the year is shaping up as a market with more balance, but not necessarily an easier one. More inventory has changed the conversation, slower price growth has narrowed the room for overpricing, and mortgage rates are keeping buyers disciplined.



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